The heterogenous impact of tariff and NTM on total factor productivity of Indonesian firms
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Abstrak
Indonesian government has been working hard in engaging with the world market as average tariff keeps on decreasing. However, it seems to follow the global trend, that is, relying on Non-Tariff Measures (NTM) to regulate its market instead to protect its industries. This paper inspects whether these measures are actually hurt firms by limiting their access to better quality and cheaper foreign inputs. This paper builds from Amiti and Konings (2007), inspecting the impact of trade policy shocks to firm’s Total Factor Productivity (TFP). This study finds that tariff and NTMs are hurting firms TFP significantly and causing less employment. The impact is less severe for bigger firms, confirming heterogenous effect of trade policy. The result suggests unintended consequences of protectionism in Indonesian market. Moreover, as the country is looking to boost foreign investment, more protectionism may be regulated to keep markup in the domestic market high as an incentive for foreign investors.
Artikel ini telah diterima untuk diterbitkan di Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies (BIES) dan sedang mengalami proses edit. Artikel versi pre-edit dapat diakses di sini. Artikel ini telah dipresentasikan di Economics PhD Seminar di Crawford School of Public Policy. Slide presentasi dapat diakses di sini
Krisna Gupta
Dosen
Dosen di Politeknik APP Jakarta. Juga mengajar di Universitas Indonesia. Mitra senior di Center for Indonesian Policy Studies. Fokus penelitian tentang dampak kebijakan perdagangan dan investasi terhadap ekonomi Indonesia, terutama sektor manufaktur.